Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 10.689776 12.344630 14.115285 16.144539 18.399396 20.821628 23.613828
2025-02-23 8.413193 10.542679 12.965101 15.903404 19.348627 23.237543 27.935442
2025-03-02 6.768087 9.109926 11.918220 15.490454 19.866823 25.005745 31.444670
2025-03-09 5.661209 8.124715 11.219894 15.322011 20.537224 26.864663 35.031995
2025-03-16 4.718887 7.199971 10.457180 14.940560 20.834765 28.196981 37.950807
2025-03-23 4.131702 6.660271 10.111578 15.021075 21.663076 30.165001 41.675456
2025-03-30 3.604342 6.130094 9.709316 14.961930 22.260526 31.815841 45.010064
2025-04-06 3.232012 5.775839 9.506277 15.136243 23.146524 33.842541 48.866495
2025-04-13 2.910686 5.457072 9.315812 15.295317 23.992585 35.819059 52.692351
2025-04-20 2.700398 5.287152 9.323895 15.726846 25.220938 38.335452 57.298698
2025-04-27 2.483519 5.079082 9.249702 16.018330 26.244079 40.584786 61.588434
2025-05-04 2.230770 4.778586 9.000415 16.017241 26.823700 42.214486 65.050212
2025-05-11 1.876355 4.256056 8.350164 15.352287 26.385156 42.386278 66.489613
2025-05-18 1.651481 3.942326 8.016233 15.159205 26.636692 43.541487 69.333196
2025-05-25 1.424717 3.593312 7.588042 14.777130 26.565664 44.205925 71.472356
2025-06-01 1.259094 3.343520 7.310386 14.621100 26.830689 45.361796 74.338327
2025-06-08 1.085949 3.051919 6.928164 14.256109 26.734274 45.957072 76.380094
2025-06-15 0.986977 2.908059 6.807900 14.334688 27.353174 47.648202 80.077345
2025-06-22 0.883277 2.737724 6.620392 14.278114 27.739198 48.982554 83.261505
2025-06-29 0.813403 2.637222 6.560829 14.446233 28.502034 50.917246 87.390163
2025-07-06 0.748519 2.539204 6.496960 14.599585 29.240343 52.826619 91.515500
2025-07-13 0.712574 2.510078 6.572328 15.015493 30.440654 55.494776 96.858076
2025-07-20 0.667670 2.450588 6.577977 15.296468 31.412472 57.816386 101.706503